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Tech Guesses

Apple’s Fall 2021 Updates

As we approach the fall, rumors are swirling about Apple and what they are going to announce this year.

The Mac

While most are assuming we will see some Mac Updates, along with a new M-Series chip, I think we may see two things simultaneously. I’m expecting the new M2 chip, for the MacBook Air, low-end MacBook Pro, 24″ iMac, and lower-end MacMini. Then instead of an M1X, we will actually see the M2X chip for the higher-end machines, including a 30 or 32″ iMac, 16″ MacBook Pro, and the Mac Mini Pro. I feel this is the direction that Apple will head, because unlike with the A-series chips, where the beefier model comes out about 6-months after the initial release, it has been nearly a year with the M1. The existing machines are due for an update (following Apple’s traditional cycle), and because these chips names will be far more visible to the consumer, putting an M2 into a lower-end machine, and an M1X into the higher machines, around the same time, would be confusing. I don’t know if the name will just be marketing, or if Apple would do the bold thing of actually creating two chips, or SoCs, with the same basic structure. I can see this moving in the direction of Intel’s chips, where multiple SKUs come out with the same basic technology, but different features. Like an i5 and an i7, we will instead have M# and M#X.

I would love to see Apple update most of their line up in one single event. New MacBook Airs, Pros, Minis, and iMacs, and get people excited for the Mac Pro coming sometime in 2022.

iPads

As the Pro was updated earlier this year, I don’t see it getting updated until the Spring. However, I see the Air getting the M1 chip, and the iPad and iPad mini getting the A14 chip. I don’t expect major redesigns with them, just an extension of the squared off design language that was featured with the Air last year.

Apple Watch

Apple Watch will again get the new design language, and likely a slightly large screen option. I would love to see more health sensors, like the rumored blood-glucose meter, but we can only hope.

iPhone

The iPhone 13 will add more mmWave 5G in more countries (along with updated iPhone 12s in those countries). I see LIDAR becoming standard on all machines, faster FaceID, and perhaps touchID on the power button, like the iPadAir, on the 13 Pro.

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WWDC 2021 – No Hardware

There were a lot of exciting announcements from MacOS Monterrey, iOS/iPad/TVOS 15, WatchOS 8, and lots of updates to home.

I am quite disappointed that there were no hardware announcements, as this would be the perfect time.

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WWDC 2021

June 7, we will have the opening Keynote to WWDC 2021 (Apple’s World Wide Developers’ Conference). While Apple is not consistent in their announcements at the keynote, we know for sure, mainly because they effect developers, that the following will be announced:

• iOS/iPadOS 15
• MacOS 12 (along with the codename)
• tvOS 15
• New developer tools
• Some developers showing up AR and LiDAR applications.

However, we are also expecting new developer/professional computers to be announced at this years WWDC, largely due to the low-power focus that has occurred so far with the Apple transition to Apple’s only silicon.

These may include any or all of the following:

16″ MacBook Pro
14″ MacBook Pro
MacMini (Pro)
30/32″ iMac or iMac Pro
MacPro (Unlikely)

The current rumors are that these machines will all run M1X Chips, basically M1 chips with more cores, more GPU cores, more neural engine cores, and more RAM. Some rumors say 10 high power CPU core, with 16 to 32 GPU cores. There are also mentions in the latest updates to BigSur that reference the new AMD 6600, 6700, and 6800 GPUs, this may be for eGPU support, or there may be either a final Intel Mac coming or even AMD GPUs on an M1X machine augment the SoC GPU.

The new MacBook Pros

We only know they are coming. We know they will not be running the M1, but the next chip, be that M1X or M2 (likely M1X, based on Apple’s existing nomenclature). The Rumors are that they will be returning to a port configuration similar to the 2012-2015 MacBook Pros, but I find that unlikely. The Magsafe name keeps coming up, in relation to these machines, but it is unlikely to be similar to the old Magsafe or Magsafe2 connectors, and instead a USB charging cable that uses Magnetic breakaway connections for safety. I also see Apple taking a cue from the new iMacs, and putting an Ethernet port in the power brick, as the USBC connections can do power and data, especially Ethernet, at the same time with no performance penalties. This would also free up a USBC port for users, who continually complain about ports. I highly doubt, given the thick/thinness of the machines that USB A or HDMI will return, but I do expect SD Cards, as those seem to be the most common complaint by professionals.
Expect 3 USB-C ports, all supporting Thunderbolt 4 and USB4, and an SDXC Card Slot.

New iMacs (Pro)

It is but a foregone conclusion that larger, more professional iMacs are coming. I would expect them come with 4 USBC ports as standard, SDXC Cards on the right, and 1Gbps or 10Gbps ethernet on the external power brick. I also expect them to look like scaled up versions of the 24, including the chin. However, I expect 6K displays, with miniLED, and perhaps a line-in port next to the headphone jack.

MacMini (Pro)

The M1 MacMini is an awesome machine, and if you already have a decent screen, a great alternative to an iMac. However, it has plenty of room for improvement. As Linus from LTT said about the last top fo the line Intel Mini, this machine should just be called Macintosh or Mac. And upgraded machine is needed to replace that Intel Mini. I expect a similar power connector to the M1 iMac, with external Ethernet, just to be consistent, along with 10 or 20Gbps networking available. 2-4 USBC Ports, 2-4 USBA, SDXC, HDMI 2.1, and a smaller form factor, but with the M1X chip.

MacPro

It is highly unlikely that Apple will release the new MacPro, but you never know. Although rumors are pushing for 16-64 CPU and GPU Cores.

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New Tech Guesses

Unpacking the April Event

We got the 24″ iMacs, AirTags, 10GbE Mac Minis (quietly), new iPad Pros, and some updates to services. But what does it all mean?

It means that Apple is taking a much more conservative approach to the Apple Silicon transition than a lot of people were expecting. Apple is not going to rush things to the market before they are ready, or before they can properly differentiate their products. Why was there no larger iMac or new MacBook Pro? Because the chips that would differentiate them from the existing models, or the “consumer” models, are not yet ready. It may be related to the global chip shortage, supply constraints at TSMC, or could just be Apple taking a measured and purposeful response to the excitement about Apple Silicon.

Professional or Prosumer

The real question at this point is; “Will the next releases be for Professionals or Prosumers?” Without having gamers/enthusiasts as a major segment of sale, unlike Intel/AMD/Nvidia, what is the next release going to be targeted at? Will they be releasing prosumer hardware, tailored towards small business, YouTube Creators, and their ilk. Or will Apple be releasing hardware for professionals, like cinematographers, TV/Film Production, Photo Journalists, etc? Of course, to simplify their supply chain, Apple may merge the idea of Professional and Prosumer into one category, and allow the user to dictate what they are.

No Difference?

I’m not saying that there will be no difference, but with the existing performance from M1, blurring the lines between consumer and prosumer, I would expect the line between prosumer and professional to get blurred equally with the M1X and/or M2. With the larger iMacs, Mac Pro, and MacBook Pro having options for more RAM, more Storage, more GPU Cores, but still with a bog-standard configuration that will do the jobs that most prosumers would want.

No Expansion?

I do still expect that the there will be M-series devices that are released that support expansion, multiple internal drives, PCIe cards, etc. However, given the performance that Apple is getting out of there chips, it may not be in the same way that some would expect. Maybe the SoC will continue to contain storage and RAM, that you select at the time of purchase, but perhaps there are some MNVe slots or SATA ports for adding more storage later. Additional RAM could be available, but would be more akin to a L2 or L3 Cache, running slower than the integrated RAM, even with DDR5. More GPU cores in the SoC, but perhaps support for 3rd party or maybe 1st party discrete GPUs, that because they are separate from the SoC/CPU can run at higher speeds and provide more performance that the already stunning performance of the M1 GPU. As Apple learned from the 2013 Mac Pro, professionals expect an ability to upgrade and maintain their machines to suit their workflows, and it would be a shame if Apple abandoned that ability, in the name of simplicity.

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Tech Guesses

What to expect Tuesday…

Apple really tries to keep people from figuring out what sort of produces they will announce at their events. However, being resourceful people that we are, the Internet has a way to figure things out.

iMacs

Replacement machines for the 21.5″ and 27″ iMac, as well as the 27″ iMac Pro are expected. Current stock of the 21.5″ models is dwindling and the iMac Pro is already discontinued. Presumedly this space will collapse into two iMac models, at 24″ and 30″, with a similar envelop to the 21.5″ and 27″ models. Some rumors are suggesting a 34″, which could be a “more pro” model, given a larger thermal envelope might be able to support more cores and more active cooling.

It is presumed that the new iMacs will come with M1X, and it is possible or suggested that they could have discrete graphics, likely developed by Apple. More storage, and ports are expected as well, including 10GB Ethernet.

MacBooks

With the other M1X chips coming out, I would expect the MacBook Pros to be upgraded as well, especially if discrete graphics are available, but likely only in the 16″ models. The smaller models, may expand the screen to 14″, by shrinking bezels. There are lots of rumors of ports returning to the MacBooks, however, the most I would expect is 4 USBC ports for USB/TB4, and perhaps and SD Card slot.

AirTags

They have been rumored for years, but AirTags appear to be close to release. They do appear to likely rely on qi charging, with an option to use the MagSafe connectors on the new iPhones to also charge.

AirPods 3 (Pro 2s)

Rumors are spreading of new AirPods forthcoming. Recent leaks show them with silicone ear pieces, which points to new AirPod Pros, which would also be consistent with their smaller stems. I for one am hoping that Apple continues to make an AirPod without silicone ear pieces, as I struggle to keep any silicone ear pieces in my ears… but don’t have that problem with normal AirPods or Ear Buds.

iPad Pro

The final rumor is for an updated iPad Pro, possibly with a miniLED display, and likely with a USB4/ThunderBolt4 compatible USB-C connector. This would be a huge boon for the iPad Pro, as it would show that Apple really does see it as a computer, and provide scores more options and opportunities to utilize the machine for all sorts of productivity activities. A 3rd Generation pencil may also be part of the Pro’s launch, likely exclusive to the iPad Pro.

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New Tech Guesses

Finally a date

News is officially out. Apple’s event will be on April 20. This is good news for those of us just champing at the bit to see what they pull off next. Here’s to hoping.

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Tech Guesses

Soon… No, Seriously!

Well, we have missed every prediction, but so has everyone else. New Apple Products are coming, but when, we aren’t quite sure. The most concrete answer is 2nd Quarter 2021, which means April-June.

What is coming?

If I’m honest, we don’t know for sure. However, rumors are swirling about a new iPad Pro, both sizes, which may replace the USB-C/USB 3.0 interface with a Thunderbolt 3 or 4, USB-C connector. This would allow more flexibility with the current form factor, without completely destroying the accessories market. It is also rumored that the iPad Pro will use the A14X, which shares many components with the M1.

Speaking of M1, an M1 or M1X iMac is expected. Current rumors point to a 24″ and 30″ models. Some rumors are talking about integrated graphics (which to be honest, seem to be holding their own), with others talking about a discrete GPU as well (albeit it could be a Apple GPU, or perhaps something from AMD, although the latter is unlikely). One hope is that there will be the option for adding additional RAM later on, but given that LPDDR4X, that is used in the M1 machines isn’t available on separate cards, it is unlikely, unless Apple is planning on adopting DDR5, which is also unlikely as of yet.

More MacBook rumors are swirling, as well as the completely illogical and unfounded rumor of more ports returning to the MacBook line. I see and upgrade in the near future, as well as the 16″ coming to fruition, but I see the likely hood of anything more than an SD card reader coming the MacBook line to be wishful thinking.

AirTags still seem to be in the offerings. With “Find My” being expanded to support 3rd party devices, more and more evidence is mounting of AirTags or something similar to be available in the near future.

Rumors started circulating in the last few weeks about AirPods 3 or AirPods Pro 2. I for one see some sort of upgrade as likely, just so long as the silicon tips remain optional.

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New Tech Guesses

Not March 23rd, but April 6

It appears that the March 23rd date, was a rumor to help track down some leakers. However, evidence is pointing towards an even sooner rather than later. At present, several devices are showing on Amazon as not being in stock until April 7, and a MacRumors member found a case for a iPad Pro (2021), for sale at a Target, that wasn’t supposed to be on the shelves until April 6.

This leads me to believe that we will getting our even still. It will likely be April 6th, with new iPads available either later that day, or on April 7. There is a small possibility that the event will be March 30th, but for that to be the case, invitations would go out on the 22nd, 23rd, or 24th. We’ll all soon find out.

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Rethinking Public/Mass Transportation

Throughout the last two decades of the 20th Century, and the first two of the 21st, railroads have been disappearing. Often being torn up and turned into abandoned right-of-way, turned into trails, or just abandoned with rails left in place. I contend that these actions are the antithesis of responsible planning, and these rails need to be reused for other purposes.

The Rails-to-Trails Disaster

Rails-to-Trails is a program where local governments are donated or purchase railroad ROW, and they convert it to trails. It seems like a great idea, but it is actually a horrible idea. Most of the rails-to-trails projects involve removing existing rail infrastructure, and replacing it with a non-permeable surface, usually asphalt or concrete. Both of these surfaces are actually quite bad for your body to walk on, and without proper footwear can cause impact damage to your body. On top of that, these trails rip out millions of dollars in rail infrastructure, including the ties/sleepers, rails, crossings, specialize traffic signals, and bridges. All of these trails should have instead been turned into either regional commuter rail or light rail/streetcar, it would greatly reduce the cost to add rail to the region/city, and it is already near housing and businesses. This reduces the burden to municipalities or transit operators to add higher capacity modes, but also has a built-in customer base, it isn’t being built away from population centers to reduce cost, which also mean that fewer people will need to drive to access the rails. If for some reason rail is not desirable for mass transit at this time, some minor modification to the ROW can be done, without removing the rails, to allow for BRT (Bus Rapid Transit) to use the ROW, until there is demand for rail.

One Mode to Rule Them All (Not)

Too many system focus on running a single mode of non-bus transportation. However, the most successful systems in the world use multiple modes to achieve the goals of serving their populations. London uses subway/metro, heavy rail, light rail, and trams to cover its population, along with regional rail. Tokyo uses bullet trains, subway/metro, heavy rail, light rail, trams, and monorail to cover its people. To meet the transportation needs of a region, multiple systems must be used, in order to best serve the community. Have a lot of hills? Use subways, buses, and/or monorail to ensure reliable service. Have lots of low-lying land? Use trams or light rail to move people around.

Public vs Private Funding

Most of the best systems in the world, London, New York, Tokyo, etc; all started as private enterprises. This seems to be the best way to ensure that systems are build to cover the most number of people, as the private enterprises want to make as much money as possible, with as little out of pocket cost. Some, like Tokyo, are still privately owned and operated. Systems that are started by governments, are usually designed around creating new communities, rather than serving and improving those that are already in existence. Not to say that their goals in creating transit orientated development is bad, just that it alienates tax payers to not be served by the transit systems they are paying for, or still having to drive some distance to reach these routes.

Love ’em or hate ’em, Buses are Good

Buses are often maligned for being the “poor mans transit”. While they are traditionally the cheapest for users, they can be improved greatly to be on par with fixed route transit. The easiest way to do that is to increase service. Move towards multiple vehicles per hour, something similar to what you would get on a fixed-route service. This will help the service to fit into peoples’ lives, and make it more attractive for commuting, as well as being much more reliable to connect with other routes, without long transfer times. Also, if you have a major arterial that has a large number of traffic signals, and also a lot of traffic, consider locating bus transit on adjacent, parallel streets. By removing buses from the arterial, you will usually increase reliability, especially if you prevent normal vehicular traffic from said roadway or at least prevent if from continuing the entire length. Preferring or requiring pre-payment of fares is also a great thing to improve buses. It makes the bus more like a metro service, and drastically increases the speed of embarking and disembarking. Ticket machines on the platforms, as well as accepting NFC payments goes a long way towards increasing the viability of buses.

Don’t skimp because of size

You may not live in a large metropolitan area, or even a metro at all. That doesn’t mean that public transportation shouldn’t be important. It means you have a greater chance of actually being able to keep up with the future, if you start now. If you have disused or abandoned rail lines, push to keep them, and plan for future uses. Get a bus system started, even if you just have one route running at 30 minutes intervals, that can go a long way towards encouraging changes in mentalities. Start a shuttle to the major job centers, shopping districts, etc. If people see the bus in places they are planing to go, and they don’t have to wait an hour or more between them, they are more inclined to try it, and maybe keep using it. You don’t even need 30’+ buses, smaller vehicles are more than capable, and can serve your needs, without a massive capital investment.

However, cities as small as 30,000 people should be working on their own internal light-rail system of some sort. It may seem like a small number of people, it really isn’t and the right system can easily be self-supporting, once you get the infrastructure built.

Conclusion

Public/Mass Transportation will never solve all of a city or regions problems, but we as a people have screwed up continuously in the past, but have the chance to reverse these actions. It will never replace the car for all uses, but anything that encourages less vehicular use, will always be a positive, for people, your community, and the environment.

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Tech Guesses

Apple Event… March 23rd

Current rumors are pointing at March 23rd as a new Apple Event. This is shaping up to be the release of at the very least the 16″ MacBook Pro and a small iMac (maybe 24″). There have been plenty of mockups of the new iMacs, and rumors of more ports on the MacBooks. Additional rumors are pointing to a 13″ MacBook Pro being redesigned into a 14″, a 27″ or 30″ iMac, and possibly, AirTiles (finally). With the discontinuation of the iMac Pro, an updated 27/30″ iMac seems likely, with the power to match or beat the current iMac Pro. All of this is contingent on either M1x or M2 coming to market at the same time, in order to best the current products, which are just kicking most systems to the curb.

MacBook Pro(s)

Rumors have been circulating that the next refresh will include both a 14″ and 16″ MacBook Pro, with additional ports and MagSafe. I don’t see Apple removing USB-C Charging, but may augment it, like many PC Manufactures, with an update MagSafe connector (MagSafe 3?) for portable operations. There are even some patent drawings to that effect. There are also rumors of USB-A, HDMI, and other ports coming back to the machines. I can see an SD card slot returning, and maybe a single USB-A, but that would be about it. USB is moving to USB-C as the standard interface for USB4, so more devices should start becoming available with USB-C connections, and I foresee 2021 being the year that more USB-C thumb drives will be on the market (likely with both C and A connectors), and we will see printer manufacturers either replacing the USB-B connectors with USB-C or at least making an USB-C to USB-B (2.0) cable.

iMacs

The iMacs are long overdue for an upgrade. Smaller bezels would be nice, but honestly, I don’t find the current design dated, and I would hate for the machine to lose its chin entirely. I would like to see some front or easier to find port access, 10Gb Ethernet as an option (or 2.5Gb at least), WiFi 6E, upgraded camera, etc. I can only see the screen size increasing by removing the bezels, and keeping the 16×9 aspect ratio. I see them also upgrading the smaller screen to 5K, and the larger screen to 6K (to match the ProDisplay XDR). I am expecting, with Apple using their own chips, that Target Display Mode will return as well. Rumors are also pointing at colorful chassis, which if done at a material level, also points at colorful keyboards coming (as the Apple keyboards are made from the waste material from making iMacs and MacBooks), possibly with updated keycaps, like on the new M1 MacBooks.

Jon Prosser‘s render of the potential new iMacs

Apple Silicon

Apple is awfully tight lipped about its processor roadmaps and plans, as they aren’t needing to market it to other companies (yet). But some enterprising persons have leaked M1x benchmarks which show a 12 core processor, rivaling some of the most expensive prosumer chips from Intel and AMD, both in single-core and muliti-core performance. Remember, this is with a chip without hyper threading, and without additional power management systems, other than just being optimized for battery. 12 cores for graphics (or more) would also go a long way towards supporting these new machines. It would be quite outstanding if Apple could rival AMD and Nvidia’s graphics performance from 12 cores.

Conclusion

While we don’t know for sure what is coming for sure, we do know they will be better and faster than the current M1s, will rival Windows PCs on the market, and will move Apple forward into the undiscovered country that they are plunging towards.